SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Tigre |
39.64% ( 1.09) | 27.26% ( 0.32) | 33.1% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% ( -1.47) | 55.71% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% ( -1.21) | 76.85% ( 1.21) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( -0.08) | 27.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( -0.1) | 62.96% ( 0.1) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -1.66) | 31.47% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( -1.96) | 67.85% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.63% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.1% |
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