SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Tigre |
31.67% ( -0.03) | 28.23% ( -0.04) | 40.09% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.49% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.42% ( 0.14) | 59.57% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% ( 0.1) | 79.91% ( -0.11) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.05) | 34.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 0.05) | 71.18% ( -0.06) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0.1) | 29.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( 0.13) | 64.97% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 40.09% |
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