SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 45.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Estudiantes |
45.35% ( 0.91) | 27.49% ( -0.16) | 27.17% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.37% ( 0.18) | 58.63% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( 0.15) | 79.18% ( -0.14) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.54) | 25.8% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( 0.73) | 60.75% ( -0.73) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.52) | 37.46% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( -0.51) | 74.24% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.17% |
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