SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Estudiantes |
40.05% ( 0.2) | 28.72% ( -0.08) | 31.23% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.64% ( 0.26) | 61.36% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( 0.19) | 81.27% ( -0.19) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.25) | 29.96% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( 0.3) | 66.07% ( -0.29) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( 0.05) | 35.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( 0.05) | 72.52% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 31.22% |
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