SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
42.95% ( -1.53) | 27.41% ( 0.94) | 29.64% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 48.03% ( -2.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% ( -3.28) | 57.26% ( 3.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.89% ( -2.68) | 78.1% ( 2.68) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -2.25) | 26.4% ( 2.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( -3.09) | 61.56% ( 3.09) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( -1.28) | 34.74% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( -1.38) | 71.47% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 1.09)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.64% |
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