SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
41.72% ( -0.12) | 27.35% ( 0.02) | 30.93% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.41% ( -0.03) | 56.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( -0.02) | 77.56% ( 0.02) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( -0.11) | 62% ( 0.1) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.06) | 33.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( 0.06) | 70.06% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.93% |
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