Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
