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SA
Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Education City Stadium
SK

Saudi Arabia
1 - 1
South Korea

South Korea win 4-2 on penalties
Radif (46')
Mancini (50'), Al-Kassar (90+5'), Al Muwallad (113'), Al Burayk (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Kyu-Sung (90+9')
Young-gwon (49'), Kang-in (114')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-3 Malaysia
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We say: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (Saudi Arabia advances on penalties)

These are two sides with contrasting styles of play, and we believe the Saudi defensive shape could frustrate the South Koreans, and that frustration alone may be enough to give the Green Falcons a psychological edge when it may be needed most. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (9.83%).

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawSouth Korea
27.62% (-0.032 -0.03) 27.87% (0.251 0.25) 44.51% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.702 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.26% (-0.882 -0.88)59.73% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.96% (-0.68 -0.68)80.04% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.512 -0.51)37.69% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (-0.503 -0.5)74.46% (0.506 0.51)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.518 -0.52)26.73% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.692 -0.69)62% (0.695 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 27.62%
    South Korea 44.51%
    Draw 27.86%
Saudi ArabiaDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 13.29% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 44.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman
Tuesday, January 16 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Hong Kong
Wednesday, January 10 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Palestine
Tuesday, January 9 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Lebanon
Thursday, January 4 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 3-3 Malaysia
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Iraq 0-1 South Korea
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: China 0-3 South Korea
Tuesday, November 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: South Korea 5-0 Singapore
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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