The Green Falcons seemed to find their form near the end of 2023 and should be able to carry that momentum into this friendly.
Given their experience in big tournaments and overall quality, we believe Saudi Arabia will overwhelm a Lebanese side still figuring out their identity under new management.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.
