Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 80.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 6.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.