SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Sturm Graz |
17.69% ( 0.05) | 21.01% ( 0.14) | 61.29% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.53) | 42.53% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.53) | 64.93% ( 0.52) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% ( -0.25) | 37.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( -0.25) | 74.32% ( 0.24) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.23) | 13.38% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( -0.45) | 40.3% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.69% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.01% | 0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 61.28% |
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