SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Austria Vienna |
41.06% ( -0.11) | 23.08% ( 0.02) | 35.86% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.83% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.08) | 36.42% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.08) | 58.56% ( 0.08) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0.08) | 18.28% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( -0.13) | 49.34% ( 0.13) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( 0.01) | 20.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( 0.02) | 53.25% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Austria Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.86% |
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