SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Union SG |
30.41% ( -0.27) | 25.24% ( -0.25) | 44.35% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( 0.94) | 48.29% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( 0.85) | 70.44% ( -0.85) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.29) | 29.55% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( 0.35) | 65.58% ( -0.35) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( 0.64) | 21.76% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% ( 0.96) | 54.95% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.35% |
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