SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Eupen win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Eupen |
73.7% ( 0.24) | 15.38% ( -0.11) | 10.92% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.07% ( 0.19) | 30.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.7% ( 0.23) | 52.29% ( -0.22) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.81% ( 0.09) | 7.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.9% ( 0.24) | 26.1% ( -0.24) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( -0.08) | 39.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( -0.08) | 76.14% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Eupen |
| 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.87% Total : 73.7% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.38% | 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 10.92% |
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