SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Leuven |
75.69% ( 0.29) | 14.17% ( -0.13) | 10.14% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.41% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.14) | 26.98% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.18) | 47.47% ( -0.18) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.06% ( 0.08) | 5.94% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.3% ( 0.23) | 22.7% ( -0.23) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.18) | 37.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( -0.18) | 74.68% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.81% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 4.23% Total : 75.69% | 1-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.17% | 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 10.14% |
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