SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Genk in this match.
| Result | ||
| KV Oostende | Draw | Genk |
17.29% ( -0.23) | 19.83% ( -0.23) | 62.88% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0.69) | 37.76% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( 0.74) | 60% ( -0.74) |
| KV Oostende Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( 0.16) | 35.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% ( 0.17) | 71.89% ( -0.17) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.53% ( 0.33) | 11.47% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.69% ( 0.72) | 36.31% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| KV Oostende | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.29% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 6.82% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.29% Total : 62.88% |
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