SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
41.55% ( 0.09) | 25.84% ( -0.02) | 32.6% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( 0.05) | 50.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( 0.05) | 72.06% ( -0.05) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( 0.07) | 23.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( 0.1) | 58.08% ( -0.11) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.03) | 28.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( -0.03) | 64.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.6% |
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