Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.