Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Botafogo
50.76% ( -4.11)	24.87% ( 1.05)	24.36% ( 3.06)

Both teams to score 51.58% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

-1.19)

50.71% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

-1.06)

72.61% (

1.06)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

-2.06)

19.98% (

2.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.84% (

-3.42)

52.16% (

3.42)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

2.21)

35.53% (

-2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.7% (

2.22)

72.29% (

-2.22)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 50.76%

Botafogo 24.36%

Draw 24.87%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.79) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.79) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.47) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.36%