Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
-0.47) 
0.15) 
