Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.46) 
-0.01) 
