Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
