Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.46) 
