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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Castelao
F

Ceara
1 - 0
Fluminense

Vinicius (7' pen.)
Fabinho (42'), Mendoza (68'), Oliveira (84'), Messias (90+2')
Dias (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Andre (18'), Fred (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawFluminense
43.84%28.22%27.94%
Both teams to score 44.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22%60.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17%80.82%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.1%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62%38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23%74.76%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 43.83%
    Fluminense 27.93%
    Draw 28.21%
CearaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 8.69%
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 27.93%

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