Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.24) 
