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Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 6, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
C

Palmeiras
4 - 0
Coritiba

Mayke (15'), Rony (34'), Gomez (51'), Lopes (77')
Atuesta (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Boschilia (42'), Anderson (89')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Palmeiras
Tuesday, October 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, September 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCoritiba
75.65% (0.569 0.57) 15.22% (-0.247 -0.25) 9.13% (-0.321 -0.32)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.82% (0.129 0.13)36.18% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.71% (0.142 0.14)58.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.155 0.16)8% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.386 0.39)28.21% (-0.385 -0.39)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.582 -0.58)46.63% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.449 -0.45)82.21% (0.449 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 75.65%
    Coritiba 9.13%
    Draw 15.22%
PalmeirasDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 11.9% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 10.01% (0.153 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.33% (0.149 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.2% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.44% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.023 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 75.65%
1-1 @ 7.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.22%
0-1 @ 2.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 9.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Palmeiras
Tuesday, October 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, September 29 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, September 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, September 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, September 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Coritiba
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Avai
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 5-2 Coritiba
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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