Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
