Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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