Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.22) 
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