Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Goias had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.51) 
