Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
0.32) 
-0.12) 
