Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.83) 
