Corinthians have turned a corner in recent weeks, winning six of their last seven matches in all competitions, and we can envisage them extending that excellent streak on Wednesday.
They will expect to visit Argentina for the return leg next week with a lead to protect, with Newell's OB hoping to rediscover their form from the group stage in this competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.
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