Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.18) 
