Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-1.72) 
0.77) 
