Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
2.15) 
-1.23) 
