The form book makes this a difficult match to call, with Augsburg winning each of their last four home matches, but Schalke generating an impressive unbeaten run in recent weeks.
As such, both managers may not be too disappointed with avoiding defeat, especially as that would allow the hosts to keep a healthy distance between themselves and the relegation zone. We can envisage a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.07) 
-0.12) 
