Given that Augsburg have lost five of their last six away games, Hertha Berlin look set to avoid defeat this weekend, although the struggling hosts will likely have to settle for a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
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