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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
HB

VfL Bochum
3 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Hofmann (22', 56'), Schlotterbeck (44')
Soares (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Serdar (87')
Kempf (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Hertha Berlin

Bochum came into some great form as the season halted in November, and on home turf they have proven tough to beat. Hertha have been perennial underachievers in recent years and they have only won once away from home in the league this season, so this may be a struggle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawHertha Berlin
40.8% (-1.011 -1.01) 25.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.88% (1.007 1.01)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.259 0.26)47.47% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.238 0.24)69.68% (-0.244 -0.24)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (-0.384 -0.38)23.1% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (-0.566 -0.57)56.96% (0.559 0.56)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.747 0.75)26.9% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.972 0.97)62.22% (-0.978 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 40.8%
    Hertha Berlin 33.88%
    Draw 25.3%
VfL BochumDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Elversberg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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