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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
LL

FC Koln
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
26.46%22.67%50.86%
Both teams to score 61.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79%39.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.54%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31%27.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76%63.24%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41%44.58%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 26.46%
    RB Leipzig 50.86%
    Draw 22.66%
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.62%
1-0 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 3.56%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 1.53%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.46%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.45%
1-3 @ 5.93%
0-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.81%
1-4 @ 2.75%
0-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 50.86%

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