Mainz have lost form at exactly the wrong time and drifting into mid-table now looks likely, while Stuttgart will be desperate for a win to keep themselves above water.
Both Svensson and his opposite number Hoeness have never won when facing their respective opponents ahead of this encounter in four attempts apiece, and that record could continue here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
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