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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Jan 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
DL

RB Leipzig
1 - 3
Dortmund

Sorloth (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
29.31%23.61%47.08%
Both teams to score 60%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41%41.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01%63.98%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11%17.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32%48.68%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 29.31%
    Borussia Dortmund 47.08%
    Draw 23.61%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.14%
1-0 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-1 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 5.37%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.08%

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