We expect a fascinating tactical battle in Stuttgart on Saturday, with both teams capable of counter-attacking in the blink of an eye.
Freiburg are a more consistent collective unit, though, and we expect them to bounce back from their unfortunate defeat to Dortmund with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
-0.25) 
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