SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.54% ( -2.41) | 20.6% ( -0.86) | 56.86% ( 3.26) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( 1.42) | 33.34% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.88% ( 1.61) | 55.12% ( -1.61) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -1.07) | 27.5% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( -1.4) | 63% ( 1.4) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( 1.41) | 11.74% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.1% ( 2.94) | 36.9% ( -2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.62% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.6% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.26)0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.24)0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.86% |
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