SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
70.42% ( 0.93) | 16.95% ( -0.34) | 12.63% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.16) | 34.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% ( 0.18) | 55.93% ( -0.19) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.37% ( 0.25) | 8.62% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.24% ( 0.61) | 29.76% ( -0.61) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( -0.77) | 38.86% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.4% ( -0.74) | 75.59% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 70.41% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.95% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.63% |
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