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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
VB

Wolfsburg
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Nmecha (27', 58'), Baku (35'), Wind (80')
Bornauw (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Heintz (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 3-1 VfL Bochum

Both teams have often scored in matches involving these sides in recent weeks, but that is heavily down to the defensive deficiencies in both sides. Bochum's woeful away record has been their Achilles' heel though, and that may well continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawVfL Bochum
54.63% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 22.1% (0.02 0.02) 23.27% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)39.68% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)62.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)14.51% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (-0.07 -0.07)42.51% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 54.63%
    VfL Bochum 23.27%
    Draw 22.09%
WolfsburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-2 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Elversberg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


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