There is an argument that Brugge are the favourites heading into this contest, particularly with home advantage in their favour. However, things must click into gear for Leverkusen at some stage, and we feel that they will do just enough to earn all three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
42.37% ( -0.08)	23.56% ( 0.01)	34.07% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 62.55% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77% (

-0.04)

39.22% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44% (

-0.04)

61.56% (

0.04)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

-0.05)

18.88% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.65% (

-0.08)

50.35% (

0.09)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

0.02)

22.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

0.03)

56.64% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 42.37%

Bayer Leverkusen 34.07%

Draw 23.56%

Club Brugge	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.37%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.07%