We expect to see goals at both ends in Leverkusen on Saturday, with a draw the most likely outcome. The hosts should have gained confidence from finally ending their losing run last weekend, while Freiburg may be content with adding another point to the board having made an excellent start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
56.81% ( 3.42)	22.53% ( -0.92)	20.66% ( -2.5)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16% (

1.06)

44.84% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8% (

1.02)

67.2% (

-1.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

1.57)

15.57% (

-1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.48% (

2.85)

44.52% (

-2.85)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-1.77)

35.72% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-1.86)

72.49% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%

Freiburg 20.66%

Draw 22.52%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.8%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.66%