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PL
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
DL

PSG
vs.
Dortmund

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.48%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 19.92% and a draw has a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.45%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBorussia Dortmund
60.48% (2.142 2.14) 19.59% (-0.136 -0.14) 19.92% (-2.01 -2.01)
Both teams to score 63.59% (-2.847 -2.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.92% (-2.258 -2.26)32.08% (2.254 2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.34% (-2.683 -2.68)53.66% (2.678 2.68)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)10.4% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)33.94% (0.331 0.33)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98% (-3.057 -3.06)29.02% (3.052 3.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-3.946 -3.95)64.92% (3.942 3.94)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 60.48%
    Borussia Dortmund 19.92%
    Draw 19.59%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.253 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.825 0.83)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.766 0.77)
3-0 @ 5.83% (0.59 0.59)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.302 -0.3)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.315 0.32)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.134 0.13)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 8.45% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-0 @ 3.02% (0.356 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.301 -0.3)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.382 -0.38)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 19.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-3 Le Havre
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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