Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Manchester City |
18.56% ( -0.08) | 21.79% ( -0.01) | 59.64% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.39% ( -0.08) | 44.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.02% ( -0.07) | 66.98% ( 0.08) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.2% ( -0.14) | 37.8% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.43% ( -0.13) | 74.57% ( 0.14) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.44% ( 0.01) | 14.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.37% ( 0.01) | 42.63% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Manchester City |
1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.56% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.07% 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 59.63% |
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